Advanced SUT/SAM Multiplier Modeling and Analysis

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Advanced SUT/SAM Multiplier Modeling and Analysis

Objective of the Course

The advanced course on SUT/SAM multiplier modeling is an extension of the Input-Output and Supply and Use (I-O/SUT) Multiplier modeling course. The main objective of this course is to equip participants with advanced analytical skills in SUT/SAM Multiplier modeling and policy analysis. Two datasets will be used in this course: the Supply and Use Tables (SUT) and the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). This course is also extended to labor market analysis. The participants are exposed to the economic blocks used in developing SUTs and SAMs and how to assess the respective price effects. The course discusses the theoretical formulation of multiplier models and their applications on SUTs and SAMs. In this course, large/extended SUT and SAM are used. The course is designed for policy analysts and researchers in government, statistical offices, central banks, academia and international organizations engaged in policy guidance. It is mandatory for prospective participants to have completed the introductory course in I-O/SUT Multiplier analysis or to have had extensive exposure to matrix analysis or national accounts. The course is delivered in five modules as follows.


Course Modules

Module 1: Price Analysis in the SUT Price Multiplier Model

  • Introduction to price analysis in the SUT
  • Introduction to modelling prices in the SUT
  • Hands-on construction of a price multiplier model in the SUT
  • Interpreting values of the SUT price multiplier model
  • Policy simulation in the SUT price model

Module 2: Theoretical and Empirical Structure of Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs) and Their Construction

  • Introduction to Social Accounting Matrices (SAM)
  • Theoretical and empirical migration from SUT to SAM
  • Steps for building and balancing a Macro SAM
  • Practical skills in changing SAM values and its rebalancing

Module 3: Unconstrained Extended SAM Multiplier Model and Structural Pathways

  • Theoretical composition of SUT multiplier models
  • Derivation of accounting multipliers
  • Theoretical and empirical extension of the SUT multiplier model to SAM multiplier model by including household income, income distribution and household expenditure
  • Forward and backward linkages computations
  • Interpreting SAM multipliers
  • Additive and multiplicative decomposition
  • Extension of SAMs to include employment and Natural Capital Assets (NCA) assessments

Module 4: Constrained SUT and SAM Multiplier Models for Policy Analysis

  • Introduction to supply constrained SUT and SAM
  • Advanced skills in construction of supply constrained SAM multiplier model
  • Policy analysis using the supply constrained SAM multiplier model
  • Construction of a SAM price multiplier model
  • Policy simulation in the SAM price model

Module 5: Policy Impact Analysis and Interpretation of SAM Multiplier Results

  • Policy analysis using an extended SAM multiplier model
  • Price analysis using a SAM price multiplier model for policy guidance
  • Group exercise 5: Policy simulation (hands-on Real World Policy Simulation)
  • Group presentation of results on SAM modeling for Policy Analysis

Mode of Delivery

The course is delivered through an intensive, hands-on approach in which participants systematically build the SUT price model and a SAM multiplier model (both constrained and unconstrained) over the duration of the training. The programme is highly sequential, requiring full attendance at all sessions, as each step builds directly on the previous one. Participants work in teams to enhance peer learning and methodological coherence, while each participant is required to have an individual laptop and mouse for practical implementation. By the end of the course, each team presents policy simulation results generated from their model.

For the online delivery option, participants are required to submit all assignments within the stipulated timelines to ensure completion within the scheduled period, as extensions may incur additional facilitation costs.


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